Oscars 2022 predictions: Win your Oscar pool with my picks
Oscars 2021 predictions: Win your Oscar pool with my picks
An unprecedented twelvemonth has led to an unprecedented Oscars. And my Oscars 2021 predictions can help yous make full out your virtual ballot, whether your usual Oscar pool is happening this year or if you just want to follow along at dwelling. Because while many things have inverse, some remain the same and come this Sunday, those aureate statuettes volition go dwelling house with deserving winners.
The Oscars 2021 live stream will be unlike whatsoever other ceremony of the past, with restricted attendance, social distancing on the cherry-red carpet and virtual attendance from "hubs" around the globe. Just similar every Academy Awards before it, the 2021 edition features a number of worthy contenders, including Nomadland, Minari, Judas and the Black Messiah and others.
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As far equally my Oscar predictions resume, I've won many Oscar pools over the years, including the last two among my group of friends. In my Oscars 2020 predictions, I correctly chose 21 out of 24 categories — including the All-time Motion-picture show winner, Parasite.
And then, with that said, here are my Oscars 2021 picks.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Picture
- Nomadland
- The Father
- Judas and the Black Messiah
- Mank
- Minari
- Promising Young Woman
- Audio of Metallic
- The Trial of the Chicago 7
Last year's race ended in a photograph end, with Parasite winning in a delightful surprise over 1917. This twelvemonth, there's more of a articulate frontrunner in Nomadland.
Similar 1917, Nomadland took all the right precursors: the Producers Society, the Directors Guild, BAFTA, Critics Choice and the Golden Globes. Last year, 1917 missed out on a SAG nomination for all-time ensemble, which Parasite ended upwardly winning. That foreshadowed the latter'southward eventual Oscar triumph.
Nomadland too didn't receive a SAG nom, but I don't foresee a repeat of last yr. For ane, Nomadland featured a cast filled with real people playing versions of themselves (so they aren't technically actors). Second, the ensemble prize went to Trial of the Chicago 7, which nobody thinks has a shot at Best Pic.
On a personal level, I'd beloved to see an underdog win by Minari. Mayhap information technology has a chance with the preferential election, but a win by Nomadland feels inevitable.
Oscars 2021 predictions: All-time Director
- Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
- Thomas Vinterberg, Some other Round
- David Fincher, Mank
- Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
- Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
The Directors Gild Awards have lined upwardly with the Oscar nine out of the last 11 years. One of those misses was terminal year, though, when Sam Mendes won the DGA for 1917 merely Bong Joon-Ho took the Oscar. Could that happen to DGA winner Zhao?
The Academy has grown a lot more diverse, non but in terms of race and gender but also by nationality. Which means there is a slight take a chance that the respected Danish auteur Vinterberg could pull off an upset, simply it still seems highly unlikely. Plus, many Academy members are likely to favor making history and crown Zhao the 2d woman and the commencement woman of color to take dwelling the Best Managing director bays.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Actor
- Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey'southward Blackness Bottom
- Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
- Anthony Hopkins, The Father
- Gary Oldman, Mank
- Steven Yeun, Minari
The late, great Boseman has won every prize leading up to the Oscars. And he'll accept this one, also. And then, we expect another stirring, heartrending credence oral communication from his widow, Taylor Simone Ledward.
Oscars 2021 predictions: All-time Actress
- Viola Davis, Ma Rainey'southward Blackness Bottom
- Andra Solar day, The United states vs. Billie Holiday
- Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
- Frances McDormand, Nomadland
- Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
This is the toughest to predict out of the pinnacle categories. The precursors don't favor any actress to a higher place the other, though Davis' win at SAG puts her slightly in the lead.
Yous'd recall McDormand would be a frontrunner since she anchors the likely Best Picture winner, simply she already has two Oscars. Davis has i, but for supporting extra.
24-hour interval pulled off a surprise win at the Golden Globes and she could follow in the footsteps of terminal yr'south Best Actress, Renee Zellweger (who besides played a existent-life singer in a motion picture with a single nomination). Simply Davis' biggest challenger is Mulligan, a respected performer who is clearly the center of Promising Young Woman.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Supporting Role player
- Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
- Sacha Businesswoman Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago vii
- Leslie Odom, Jr, I Night in Miami
- Paul Raci, Audio of Metal
- Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Blackness Messiah
Much has been fabricated of this category'due south weirdness, having both Kaluuya and Stanfield as supporting nominees (like, who's the lead of Judas and the Black Messiah then ... Jesse Plemons?!).
Foreign categorization quirk aside, Kaluuya has already bagged the Gold Globe, SAG and BAFTA and volition get home with the Oscar, too.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Supporting Actress
- Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
- Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
- Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
- Olivia Colman, The Father
- Amanda Seyfried, Mank
When the nominations were announced, this category felt like the nearly hard to predict. But things began to clear upwardly recently. Youn won both the SAG and BAFTA, and has overjoyed the hell out of everybody on the awards excursion.
Nobody thinks Close should become an Oscar for a operation that was also nominated by the Razzies. Colman is fantastic in The Father, simply her win for The Favourite is too recent. Bakalova is Youn's strongest competitor, but I think the University will end up favoring the veteran Korean actress over a newcomer.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay
- The Father
Screenplay past Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller - Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Peter Baynham & Erica Rivinoja & Dan Mazer & Jena Friedman & Lee Kern; Story by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Nina Pedrad - Nomadland
Written for the screen by Chloé Zhao - One Night in Miami
Screenplay by Kemp Powers - The White Tiger
Written for the screen past Ramin Bahrani
Another toss-up category, with Nomadland, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm and The Begetter all with practiced shots at winning.
Borat took the WGA honour, only neither of the other two were eligible to be nominated. Nomadland is the Best Motion picture frontrunner, which confers additional weight on information technology. But I'm going with The Father, because this is probably the only category it could win out of its multiple nominations and I call back the University will desire to spread the wealth as much every bit possible.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Original Screenplay
- Promising Young Woman
Written by Emerald Fennell - Judas and the Blackness Messiah
Screenplay by Volition Berson & Shaka Rex; Story past Will Berson & Shaka King and Kenny Lucas & Keith Lucas - Minari
Written by Lee Isaac Chung - Sound of Metallic
Screenplay by Darius Marder & Abraham Marder; Story by Darius Marder & Derek Cianfrance - The Trial of the Chicago vii
Written by Aaron Sorkin
The original screenplay category often tips toward edgier fare, like Get Out (and so again, Green Book won not and then long ago).
Fennell really hitting information technology out of the park with her feature moving-picture show debut and she was rewarded for her script by the WGA, over a veteran like Sorkin. She will probably triumph at the Oscars, as well, and along with Zhao, make it a very female person-forwards celebration.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Blithe Film
- Soul
- Onward
- Over the Moon
- A Shaun the Sheep Flick: Farmageddon
- Wolfwalkers
The gorgeous Wolfwalkers deserves the Animated Characteristic prize this year, but alas, Apple will walk away empty-handed because Pixar almost never loses. Not to say Soul isn't very good, because it is, just I'd like to run across more blithe films from smaller houses get out of the shadow of the Disney juggernaut.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best International Movie
- Another Round (Denmark)
- Ameliorate Days (Hong Kong)
- Collective (Romania)
- The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia)
- Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and herzegovina)
Vinterberg's inclusion among the All-time Director nominations indicates a high level of support for Denmark'southward entry in the Academy.
Quo Vadis, Aida? is a very worthy competitor, as is Collective (the latter is also nominated for Best Documentary, which it is also probable to lose). But it's hard not to root for the likable, boozy dramedy Another Round.
Oscars 2021 predictions: All-time Documentary Feature Film
- My Octopus Teacher
- Collective
- Crip Military camp
- The Mole Agent
- Time
Fire upwards streaming services and notice all five of these documentaries, immediately, because they're all exceptional. I most don't desire to have to pick one over the others, merely that's what predictions are for. Academy voters tend to go for emotion and center in this category and Netflix's My Octopus Teacher has an body of water full.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Animated Short Moving picture
- If Annihilation Happens I Dearest Yous
- Burrow
- Genius Loci
- Opera
- Yep-People
All five nominees have a ton of emotional heft, but If Anything Happens I Dear Yous truly speaks to the times with its story of ii parents grieving their daughter who was killed in a school shooting.
Oscars 2021 predictions: All-time Live Action Short Picture show
- Ii Distant Strangers
- Feeling Through
- The Letter Room
- The Present
- White Middle
Another short that tackles the electric current cultural moment, Two Distant Strangers is a Groundhog'south Day-like tale of a Blackness man killed again and gain past a white cop.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Documentary Curt Subject field
- A Concerto Is a Conversation
- Colette
- Do Not Split up
- Hunger Ward
- A Love Song for Latasha
Colette is a tearjerker that tracks an elderly woman'southward visit to a World War II concentration camp. Unremarkably, I'd say that's unbeatable, simply Concerto is but as emotional as it follows composer Kris Bowers examining his family roots.
Oscars 2021 predictions: All-time Cinematography
- Nomadland - Joshua James Richards
- Judas and the Blackness Messiah - Sean Bobbitt
- Mank - Erik Messerschmidt
- News of the Earth - Dariusz Wolski
- The Trial of the Chicago vii - Phedon Papamichael
The American Society of Cinematographers bestowed their award on Mank, but they tend to favor blackness and white movies and often don't align with the Oscars. In this case, I think Academy voters volition follow their All-time Motion-picture show votes and select the naturalistic look of Nomadland.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Movie Editing
- Sound of Metallic - Mikkel Due east. G. Nielsen
- The Father - Yorgos Lamprinos
- Nomadland - Chloé Zhao
- Promising Young Woman - Frédéric Thoraval
- The Trial of the Chicago 7 - Alan Baumgarten
The American Movie theater Editors social club honored Trial of the Chicago 7 and Palm Springs, simply they also don't often match upward with the Oscars. All-time pic editing frequently ends upward more like the Most Editing award (to wit, last twelvemonth information technology went to Ford v Ferrari). This yr, though, I recollect the more subtle Sound of Metallic will prevail.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Product Design
- Mank
- The Father
- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- News of the World
- Tenet
This Oscar unremarkably goes to a period production, which puts a strike against The Father. And the only other All-time Film nominee is Mank, which a movie about movies — and there's nothing the Academy loves more.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Costume Design
- Ma Rainey'due south Black Bottom
- Emma
- Mank
- Mulan
- Pinocchio
And this Oscar well-nigh e'er goes to a period piece. Last twelvemonth, I wrote, "When in doubt, though, get with the 1 with large, poofy dresses" (and my prediction, Picayune Women, won). This year, that would be Emma. Instead, I think the Academy won't be able to resist the chance to honor 89-year-former Roth and make her the oldest adult female to ever win an Oscar.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
- Emma
- Hillbilly Elegy
- Mank
- Pinocchio
This Oscar rewards the biggest transformations, especially ones where famous actors become famous real people (previous winners: Bombshell, Vice, Darkest Hour). But there's no obvious pick hither. Pinocchio probably features the almost jaw-dropping transformations, just hardly everyone saw it. Mank is a contender, but I'g going with the stunning makeover of Davis in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.
Oscars 2021 predictions: All-time Original Score
- Soul - Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste
- Da 5 Bloods - Terence Blanchard
- Mank - Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
- Minari - Emile Mosseri
- News of the World - James Newton Howard
Reznor and Ross are double nominees, simply they need not worry virtually splitting votes. Music at the heart of Soul, and its score will be honored accordingly.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Original Song
- "Speak Now" from One Night in Miami
Music and Lyric past Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth - "Fight For You" from Judas and the Black Messiah
Music by H.E.R. and Dernst Emile II; Lyric by H.E.R. and Tiara Thomas - "Hear My Vocalization" from The Trial of the Chicago 7
Music by Daniel Pemberton; Lyric by Daniel Pemberton and Celeste Waite - "Husavik" from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
Music and Lyric by Savan Kotecha, Fat Max Gsus and Rickard Göransson - "Io Sì (Seen)" from The Life Ahead (La Vita Davanti a Se)
Music by Diane Warren; Lyric by Diane Warren and Laura Pausini
Non a banner year for the Original Vocal category, which, let's face it, needs an overhaul. 4 of the nominees play over the stop credits, though that doesn't make the 5th, "Husavik," any more than likely to win (as much as I'd like it to). "Speak Now" is a perfectly fine anthem that speaks to the times and is performed by a supporting nominee.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Sound
- Audio of Metallic
- Greyhound
- Mank
- News of the World
- Soul
The University finally combined the sound editing and sound mixing awards into one, which is neat since nigh people never knew the difference and they normally went to the same pic (though not always — last twelvemonth had a split). Usually, I'd say yous can't go incorrect picking a war movie like Greyhound, just in this case, Sound of Metallic is the clear favorite with its unique and subtle take on a man'south loss of hearing.
Oscars 2021 predictions: Best Visual Furnishings
- Tenet
- Dearest and Monsters
- The Midnight Sky
- Mulan
- The One and Only Ivan
Generally, I would predict a win by a Best Picture contender in this category, fifty-fifty over blockbuster franchises. Last year, I was correct to choose 1917 over Avengers: Endgame. Only this fourth dimension, none of the nominees are up for All-time Flick, and so go with the biggest one, which is Tenet.
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